Bits and Pieces

Call it like it is: Staff badly missed this year's construction sales tax estimate

Staff presented the Town’s March financial update at Wednesday’s council meeting. There is really nothing new to report beyond what LOVE told you in March. The Town budgeted about $5.1 million in construction-related sales tax revenue for the year. The March update now estimates the year-end total at about $2.6 million. That is a shortfall of about $2.5 million, or nearly 49% below budget. This is a huge forecasting error that should have been avoidable.

Staff blamed the missed forecast on two projects: A later-than-expected start for the Oro Valley Marketplace hotel and a Vistoso Golf Club apartment development that has yet to happen.

This raises a fair question: How could staff miss the timing of these projects so badly? Town staff reviews development plans, processes approvals, and issues permits. Staff knows how long the process takes. Thus, staff knows when major projects are likely to start. Staff should have known the timing of these projects.

This mistake matters because some council candidates are pointing to the revenue shortfall as evidence that the Town is not fiscally sustainable. We disagree. The mistake is evidence of something else. Town staff needs to be challenged more closely when it provides financial results and budget forecasts to the council. That is the job of the town manager. If he fails to do it, then it is up to the council to be the backstop.

Council approves Operation Stonegarden agreement

Last night, the Town Council approved a resolution allowing Police Chief Kara Riley to sign a subrecipient agreement with the Arizona Department of Homeland Security for Operation Stonegarden funding. The agreement provides up to $143,000 for Oro Valley Police Department overtime and mileage for deployments with U.S. Customs and Border Protection. This resolution follows a May council action approving Stonegarden funding for equipment. Together, the grants continue OVPD’s participation in the regional law enforcement program. Staff says the program works with other local agencies and the U.S. Border Patrol Tucson Sector to reduce crime, improve quality of life, and target smugglers involved in human trafficking, illegal contraband, and other threats. The funding is reimbursement-based.

Council renews inmate housing agreement

Also last night, the council approved an annual intergovernmental agreement with Pima County for the housing of Oro Valley municipal prisoners at the Pima County Adult Detention Complex. State law requires cities and towns to pay for incarceration costs when prisoners are held on municipal court charges. Under the agreement, Pima County will charge Oro Valley $527.42 for booking, intake, and the first day of housing. Each additional billable day will cost $134.76. The agreement runs from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027. The town’s recommended FY 2026-27 budget includes $175,000 for prisoner custody, which staff expects will be sufficient.

Council approves Sun Shuttle Dial-a-Ride agreement

And last night, the council approved an intergovernmental agreement with the Regional Transportation Authority for Oro Valley’s Sun Shuttle Dial-a-Ride service. The service provides free, door-to-door transportation in designated areas, with service for the general public, seniors 65 and older, and ADA-certified riders. Staff said the service has operated in partnership with the RTA for more than 15 years and provided nearly 68,000 passenger trips in FY 2025. Ridership is expected to exceed 74,000 trips in FY 2026. The new agreement reflects the voter-approved RTA Next plan and runs through June 2031. For FY 2027, the estimated service cost is about $2.5 million. The RTA is projected to reimburse about $2.4 million. The Town’s estimated share is $113,000.

Council extends police radio maintenance agreement

And finally last night, the council approved a first amendment to the Town’s agreement with Pima County for Pima County Wireless Integrated Network subscriber services. The agreement provides repair and maintenance services for radios used by the Oro Valley Police Department. The original agreement was approved in 2021 and was set to end in June 2026. The amendment extends the agreement for five more years, through June 2031, with the option for another five-year renewal. The updated agreement covers 312 OVPD radios, including 162 mobile radios, 148 portable radios, and two control stations. The annual preventive maintenance cost is $9,360, or $46,800 over five years. Staff says the related expenses are included in the current budget and the recommended FY 2026-27 budget. 

- - -

Oro Valley Town Council To Set 2027 $128 Million Expenditure Limit Tonight

 $128 million limit
Council will decide on the 2027 expenditure limitation at tonight’s council meeting. The tentative budget now before council is about $128 million. That is about $2.1 million less than the town manager's initial recommendation. The limit matters because spending next year cannot exceed it. Council may approve a final budget below that amount, but not above it.

No much has changed from our previous reports

LOVE has previously discussed the 2027 Town Manager’s Recommended Budget in four articles. The first article focused on revenue and forecasting variables. The second focused on where the money would be spent. The third focused on personnel spending. The fourth provided council and mayoral candidates reaction to the budget.

Tentative budget is $2.1 million lower than the Town Manager’s recommendation
The latest budget is about $2.1 million less than the Town Manager’s Recommended Budget. The reduction is mostly because several project costs were refined after the May budget presentation. Bridge and transit-related spending was reduced or moved to reflect local match amounts rather than full project costs. That accounts for most of the reduction.

Smaller changes were made to personnel estimates, legal services, and stormwater projects. Stormwater funding increased for the Catalina Ridge Channel Modification project and a new Nanini Wash erosion mitigation project. These changes reduce the proposed expenditure limitation from about $130 million to about $128 million.

Budget still maintains current service levels
Much has not changed from the budget LOVE previously reviewed. The budget remains focused on current services, not major service expansion. Staff says the tentative budget maintains current service levels, provides eligible employees up to a 3% pay increase, and continues investments in infrastructure, employees, and Town operations.

While spending significant funds on capital projects
The proposed Capital Improvement Plan totals about $24.2 million. That is about 19% of the tentative budget. The result of this spending is a net drawdown of about $13.1 million in total fund balances. The drawdown reflects money accumulated or borrowed for some key projects that will be completed done in 2027. Examples include $6 million for NWRRDS water resource capital work, which follows prior utility financing for that multi-year project; about $2 million for the Vistoso Trails Nature Preserve Pond; $1 million for police headquarters planning and development; and about $676,000 for the Tangerine Road/Mussette Drive traffic signal. 

Budget vote on June 17
Tonight’s vote does not adopt the final budget. It sets the maximum expenditure limitation for FY 2026/27. Council is scheduled to hold the final budget public hearing and consider final budget adoption on June 17. That will also be a public hearing.

- - -

Are Oro Valley Revenues Keeping Pace With Spending? A Look At The Numbers

How do revenues and expenditures track?
Questions about whether Oro Valley revenues are keeping pace with spending have surfaced during recent budget discussions and in this year’s election season. 

It is a simple question with a complicated answer

The Town operates through roughly fifteen different funds. These include the General Fund, Water Utility Fund, Highway Fund, Capital Fund, Community Center Fund, and others. They serve different purposes and receive money from different sources. The General Fund, however, is the Town’s largest operating fund, containing about 54% of Oro Valley’s FY2027 budgeted revenues. Because discussions about revenues and spending generally concern the Town’s core governmental operations, LOVE focused primarily on that fund.

The Town’s operating fund,  the General Fund, has consistently covered the town's operating costs
The General Fund finances many of the Town’s core services, including police, administration, parks, planning, and portions of public works. Using the Town’s ten year history, current year estimate, FY2027 recommended budget, and latest five year forecast, operating revenues exceed operating expenditures in every year. Under that measure, revenues have consistently kept pace with operating costs.

Click To Enlarge

And met an even broader set of commitments over the years
The General Fund, however, does more than pay day to day operating costs. It also funds some capital projects, debt obligations, and transfers to other activities. When those commitments are included, the picture becomes tighter. The FY2027 Town Manager’s Recommended Budget projects approximately $59.3 million in General Fund revenues compared with roughly $60.7 million in total General Fund obligations, including operating spending, transfers, debt support, and other commitments. That difference contributes to a projected decline in General Fund balance. However, the Town does not expect that pattern to continue indefinitely. In later years of the five year forecast, revenues are projected to again exceed broader obligations.

While maintaining at least a 25% reserve level

Even with the projected decline, the Town is not forecasting reserves below its adopted policy minimum. The FY2027 recommended budget projects an ending General Fund balance of about $13.8 million. That remains above the Town’s required 25% reserve threshold. The Town’s five year forecast likewise projects reserves remaining at or above the adopted 25% policy level throughout the forecast period.

All of which has required careful financial management
Our reading of the numbers is not that Oro Valley faces a financial crisis. Rather, the numbers suggest that the Town will need careful financial management during the next several years. Choices will need to be made regarding capital spending, spending priorities, and finding ways to reduce operating costs. That is not unusual. Town staff has never received every dollar requested for projects or spending.

The question going forward is not whether Oro Valley revenues are keeping pace expenditures because they are...The question is how well Council and staff can manage competing priorities within a tighter financial environment. 

- - -

Note: Data compiled for this analysis came from multiple Town of Oro Valley financial sources, including ten comprehensive annual financial reports, a town staff March FY2026 General Fund estimate, the FY2027 Town Manager’s Recommended Budget as initially submitted, the FY2027 Capital Improvement Program that is in that budget and town staff's most recent five year General Fund forecast. LOVE reconciled these sources to develop the analysis used in this article.

- - -

Bits and Pieces

County outlines eviction assistance program
On May 20, Pima County staff presented the Emergency Eviction Legal Services, EELS, program to the Oro Valley Town Council. The program provides legal assistance, rental aid, shelter access, rehousing help, and job referrals for tenants facing eviction. Since its creation in 2021, the County reports that 3,725 households have received legal services, 3,500 have received rental assistance, and more than 80% of households leaving emergency shelter moved to positive housing destinations. Annual program costs include about $1.8 million for rental assistance and $400,000 for legal services. Most program clients, about 80%, live within the City of Tucson.

Indoor recreation center proposal being considered at Suffolk and Oracle

A proposed commercial project near the northeast corner of Suffolk Drive and Oracle Road would bring a roughly 25,000 square foot family recreation center, restaurant, and retail space to the site. According to Town materials, the proposal includes an indoor Kids That Rip (KTR) action sports facility featuring trampolines, sport courts, obstacle courses, and other family recreation uses. The project requires rezoning from Residential Service, R-S, to Neighborhood Commercial, C-N, along with a Conditional Use Permit to allow a 25,000 square foot single tenant family recreation center that exceeds the zoning code’s standard 5,000 square foot tenant limit. The project underwent a March neighborhood meeting that, according to Town staff, generated a mix of resident support and concerns, including questions about traffic, drainage, flooding, noise, and neighborhood compatibility. Some residents supported having a local indoor family recreation option. The company has six locations in the Phoenix area.  (Project details)

OVPD reports: Some e-bikes may be considered motorcycles under Arizona Law

The May/June OVPD CrimeFighter newsletter says officers are seeing a “significant increase” in juveniles operating electric dirt bikes and other non street legal vehicles on Oro Valley roads and multi use paths. The department warned parents that some high powered vehicles marketed as e-bikes, including certain Surron, Talaria, and similar models, may legally qualify as motorcycles under Arizona law, requiring registration, insurance, and a motorcycle endorsement. OVPD said illegally operated vehicles may be stopped and impounded. 

Oro Valley Resident Tim Tarris Leaves Monday on 48 State "Jenny Flight" For Air Corps Centennial

Retired pilot plans 48 state flight
Oro Valley resident Tim Tarris is a retired military and airline pilot. Monday, Tarris will fly a replica World War I era Jenny aircraft through 48 states, crossing the country at about 60 to 65 miles per hour in an open cockpit aircraft that flies low, only in daylight, and only in good weather. He plans to conclude the trip at Langley Air Force Base in Virginia on July 1, 2026.

The flight commemorates the 100th anniversary of the U.S. Army Air Corps and the 250th anniversary of the United States.

Built the Jenny over seven months
Tarris tells us that the aircraft took about seven months to build from a kit with help from eight to ten people. The replica uses a 100 horsepower Rotax engine, cruises at about 65 miles per hour, and has a maximum gross weight of 1,250 pounds.

A very different kind of flying
This is not a modern aircraft. Tarris describes it as extremely small, with an open cockpit and room for only the pilot. It is so small that he has to crawl into the cockpit from the back. And, there is not room for movement when he gets there.  He will fly under visual flight rules only as the plane has no lights and is intended for daytime flying. Tarris said weather will be one of the biggest challenges of the cross country trip.

Long aviation career
An Ohio native and graduate of Capital University, Tarris entered aviation through Air Force ROTC. During a 30 year military career, he flew the F-111, A-7, and F-16. He later worked as an airline pilot and is a commercial and instrument rated pilot, flight instructor, author, Experimental Aircraft Association member, and Daedalian.

Personal motivation behind the project
In discussing the project, Tarris said the flight is about more than aviation history. He spoke about losing friends and relatives over the years and wanting to pursue meaningful goals while he can: “I’m living for the right now,” he said during an interview about the effort.

Honoring aviation history
The commemorative flight is centered on the historic Curtiss JN “Jenny,” which served as a primary military trainer during World War I. Project materials state that the return of a Jenny style aircraft to Langley is intended to honor the men and women who have served the nation’s military aviation mission over the past century.

Follow Tim's flight on FlightAware. The plane tail number is 522VT.

- - - 

Vistoso Marketplace Concept Reopens Woodburne...Rancho Vistoso ... Tangerine Traffic Discussion

Study session links roadway safety and possible new marketplace
Last week, the Oro Valley Town Council held a study session on one of the Town’s more difficult traffic areas: the area around Woodburne Avenue, Rancho Vistoso Boulevard, the Safeway northern access, and Tangerine Road. Public Works Director Paul Keesler told council that the Safeway northern access and the Woodburne Avenue/Rancho Vistoso Boulevard intersection have about five to six crashes a year. He said that number has long concerned the Town.

Roadway discussion reminds all of Avilla-era traffic concerns

The last major council discussion of this area occurred during the 2024 review of the Avilla Homes proposal. That proposal was not approved after residents and council members raised traffic and roadway concerns. Last week’s discussion brought back many of those same issues. They included traffic near the Safeway northern access, left turns onto and off Rancho Vistoso Boulevard, the possible use of the Safeway rear access area, the location of a new traffic signal, and traffic backing into travel lanes. 

A 2027 lane and roadway reconfiguration plan...

The Town’s current plan is in the 2027 budget. It is to reconfigure the lanes, increase left-turn storage, and to rebuild the median between Woodburne Avenue and the Safeway northern access. One day, the town would like to add a traffic signal there. Staff said the lane changes would address many existing crash factors. Staff also said a future signal would address the remaining safety issues by controlling left turns and reducing the need for U-turns at Woodburne Avenue. Staff identified about $747,000 in impact-fee funding for lane reconfiguration in the proposed capital improvement plan.

...Paused to consider impact of "Vistoso Marketplace"
Staff was planning this work when they learned of a possible commercial project on the southwest corner of Rancho Vistoso Boulevard and Woodburne Road. It is called Vistoso Marketplace. The concept for includes a Sprouts Farmers Market as the anchor tenant, a retail building, and possible pad uses on the south side of the property. 

The project will affect traffic in the area because it will add new commercial activity near an intersection already under review for safety concerns. The project has not yet been submitted as a formal development application. It remains in the early stages. It is being proposed by W.M. Grace Companies.

Residents echo concerns... "Though we're happy with Sprouts..."
Mayor Winfield took the unusual step of accepting audience comments when the study session discussion began. Several residents spoke. Their comments echoed many of the concerns raised years earlier in  the Avilla Homes review. They questioned why the item was being discussed before a formal application had been filed. They also urged the Town to consider the full traffic effect of the project and future development in the area before deciding on roadway changes. One resident captured the reaction, saying, “Sprouts, hey, we love Sprouts,” but adding that the full shopping center puts the matter “into a whole different ballgame.”

Key decisions remain ahead
Council did not approve the Vistoso Marketplace project. It did not approve the planned road design. It did not approve a new traffic signal. This was an early discussion of how the Town might address an existing traffic safety problem while also planning for possible commercial development at the same intersection. The central question going forward is whether the Town can improve safety and traffic flow in an area that already has problems, while also accounting for a commercial project that has not yet been formally submitted for review.

- - -

Council Scales Back Town's Tourism Master Plan

Council approves a modified plan
Last Wednesday, the Oro Valley Town Council approved a modified version of the Town’s Leisure Travel Destination Management Plan by a 6-1 vote. The approval excluded Section 5, “Big Ideas and Action Plans,” except for the Tohono Chul expansion concept. Council also added language stating that approving the plan does not authorize projects, capital spending, staffing increases, policy changes, or implementation actions without future council approval. In other words, any actions will have to come before council during a budget approval process.

What council "approved"
The plan is intended as a 10-year roadmap for leisure tourism in Oro Valley. It focuses on generating tourism tied to outdoor recreation, wellness, arts, culture, dining, sports, and community events , It does not focus on building business travel or convention activity. The plan recommends a regional events and festivals strategy to address summer seasonality, increasing sports tourism and evaluating additional sports facilities, activating Steam Pump Ranch as a cultural and culinary venue, creating themed visitor itineraries and trail guides, expanding boutique and wellness lodging options, and establishing resident tourism sentiment tracking and additional performance measures.

Staff presented economic scenarios

As part of its presentation, staff showed example first year scenarios for selected recommendations. A regional events and festivals strategy assumed 5,000 additional Tucson visitors spending $50 per day and 1,000 Phoenix visitors spending $100 per day, producing an estimated $325,000 in economic activity and about $4,000 in Town bed and sales taxes. A sports tourism example modeled a small regional market capture with visitors staying three days, producing an estimated $520,000 in economic activity and about $6,500 in Town taxes. Other examples included a Steam Pump Ranch strategy estimated at $150,000 in revenue activity and about $1,900 in Town taxes, and a culinary tourism scenario estimated at $400,000 in activity and about $10,000 in taxes.

Why this matters

The purpose of the Town’s tourism strategy is to attract additional visitors who spend money in Oro Valley, generating economic activity, supporting local businesses, and increasing Town tax revenues. As part of that effort, the Town recently reported estimated economic impacts of nine selected FY2025-26 tourism events. Staff discussed these at last week's Tourism Advisory Commission Meeting.  The events ranged from major events such as the Legendary Women’s Cup and Tucson Marathon to smaller festivals and community events. Together, staff estimated that these events generated $3 million to $4 million in economic activity. LOVE translated those figures into approximate Town revenue impacts using Oro Valley tax rates and also analyzed the reported hotel room activity tied to several events. See the above panel for those calculations, including estimated bed and sales tax impacts, and for an explanation of how the Town says tourism event impacts are calculated.

Process has been underway for months
The plan  cost the town $150,000.  It has gone through months of review involving staff, the Tourism Advisory Commission, and council discussions. Staff described the plan as a community-based framework shaped through research, stakeholder engagement, resident surveys, and tourism analysis intended to guide future tourism-related decisions.

- - -