Friday, August 5, 2022

LOVE Calls It For Mayor Joe Winfield

Winfield pulls ahead by 252 votes
The Pima County Recorder counted even more mail in ballots yesterday. With the exception of provisional ballots, it looks like that’s it for the vote counting.  The county has issued a “precinct by precinct” vote count. This usually indicates that all but provisional votes have been counted.

Joe Winfield now leads challenger Danny Sharp by 252 votes. He has built his lead by gaining the advantage of mail-in votes. The number of votes cast in this election (15,864) are about the same those cast in the last mayoral election in 2018.

At this point, we see no path to victory for Sharp
Unlike the council candidate race where incumbents Barrett, Jones-Ivey and Nicolson handily defeated their challengers, the mayoral race has been close. 

Winfield’s lead is likely going to hold even after provisional votes are counted. We think this because there are probably no more than 250 provisional votes to be counted in total. In 2018, there were a total of 208 such votes. 

Join us Monday
We plan to provide a more detailed analysis of this race. And we believe we will have quite a story to tell.
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